Pair #12613

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-COPC26-BBRO

Will Blades Brown win the Corales Puntacana Championship?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Blades Brown
Expiration: 2026-07-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 39322

YES ask: 0.0440
NO ask: 0.9640
Last: 0.0440

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Blades Brown wins the Corales Puntacana Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-COPC26-BBRO

Corales Puntacana Championship: Will Blades Brown finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Blades Brown
Expiration: 2026-08-02T00:00:00Z
Volume: 456

YES ask: 0.4300
NO ask: 0.6100
Last: 0.4400

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Blades Brown finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-15T07:45:37Z
Code version: ecbe685

Reasoning: rule: KXPGATOUR is a strict subset of KXPGATOP20 for the same player and tournament

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): -100.00% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.3940 + ~$0.0196 est. fees
Days to maturity: 3
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: -104.23% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Decision: confirmed
Reviewed at: 2026-07-15T07:45:37Z

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