Pair #12609

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR1LEAD-COPC26-CBEZ

Will Christiaan Bezuidenhout lead at the end of Round 1 in the Corales Puntacana Championship?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Christiaan Bezuidenhout
Expiration: 2026-08-02T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1067

YES ask: 0.0240
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0260

View on Kalshi

Rules If Christiaan Bezuidenhout is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP5-COPC26-CBEZ

Corales Puntacana Championship: Will Christiaan Bezuidenhout finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Christiaan Bezuidenhout
Expiration: 2026-08-02T00:00:00Z
Volume: 253

YES ask: 0.2000
NO ask: 0.8100
Last: 0.1900

View on Kalshi

Rules If Christiaan Bezuidenhout finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-15T07:45:37Z
Code version: ecbe685

Reasoning: rule: round-position and final-result markets don't imply each other

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): -98.37% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.2000 + ~$0.0112 est. fees
Days to maturity: 17
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: -102.60% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue