Pair #12608

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-COPC26-CBEZ

Will Christiaan Bezuidenhout win the Corales Puntacana Championship?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Christiaan Bezuidenhout
Expiration: 2026-07-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 27948

YES ask: 0.0430
NO ask: 0.9680
Last: 0.0430

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Rules

If Christiaan Bezuidenhout wins the Corales Puntacana Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP5-COPC26-CBEZ

Corales Puntacana Championship: Will Christiaan Bezuidenhout finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Christiaan Bezuidenhout
Expiration: 2026-08-02T00:00:00Z
Volume: 253

YES ask: 0.2000
NO ask: 0.8100
Last: 0.1900

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Christiaan Bezuidenhout finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-15T07:45:37Z
Code version: ecbe685

Reasoning: rule: KXPGATOUR is a strict subset of KXPGATOP5 for the same player and tournament

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): -100.00% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.1680 + ~$0.0134 est. fees
Days to maturity: 3
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: -104.23% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Decision: confirmed
Reviewed at: 2026-07-15T07:45:37Z

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