Pair #12547

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-THOC26-KMIT

The Open Championship: Will Keith Mitchell make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Keith Mitchell
Expiration: 2026-07-18T02:00:00Z
Volume: 279

YES ask: 0.5900
NO ask: 0.4200
Last: 0.5900

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Keith Mitchell has made the cut at the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1LEAD-THOC26-KEM

Will Keith Mitchell lead at the end of Round 1 in the The Open Championship?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Keith Mitchell
Expiration: 2026-08-02T04:00:00Z
Volume: 546

YES ask: 0.0080
NO ask: 0.9950
Last: 0.0090

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Keith Mitchell is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-15T07:45:37Z
Code version: ecbe685

Reasoning: rule: round-position and final-result markets don't imply each other

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): >999% PROFITABLE
Cost: $0.4280 + ~$0.0176 est. fees
Days to maturity: 2
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: >999% PROFITABLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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