Pair #12528

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-THOC26-RHIS

The Open Championship: Will Ryo Hisatsune make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Ryo Hisatsune
Expiration: 2026-07-18T02:00:00Z
Volume: 352

YES ask: 0.5400
NO ask: 0.4900
Last: 0.5500

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Ryo Hisatsune has made the cut at the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1LEAD-THOC26-RYH

Will Ryo Hisatsune lead at the end of Round 1 in the The Open Championship?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Ryo Hisatsune
Expiration: 2026-08-02T04:00:00Z
Volume: 4923

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 0.9940
Last: 0.0090

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Ryo Hisatsune is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-15T07:45:37Z
Code version: ecbe685

Reasoning: rule: round-position and final-result markets don't imply each other

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): >999% PROFITABLE
Cost: $0.5000 + ~$0.0182 est. fees
Days to maturity: 2
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: >999% PROFITABLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue