Pair #12513

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-THOC26-ECOL

The Open Championship: Will Eric Cole make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Eric Cole
Expiration: 2026-07-18T02:00:00Z
Volume: 292

YES ask: 0.5700
NO ask: 0.4600
Last: 0.5400

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Eric Cole has made the cut at the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1LEAD-THOC26-ERC

Will Eric Cole lead at the end of Round 1 in the The Open Championship?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Eric Cole
Expiration: 2026-08-02T04:00:00Z
Volume: 4788

YES ask: 0.0080
NO ask: 0.9990
Last: 0.0060

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Eric Cole is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-15T07:45:37Z
Code version: ecbe685

Reasoning: rule: round-position and final-result markets don't imply each other

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): >999% PROFITABLE
Cost: $0.4680 + ~$0.0179 est. fees
Days to maturity: 2
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: >999% PROFITABLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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