Pair #12500

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-THOC26-ASUL

The Open Championship: Will Andy Sullivan make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Andy Sullivan
Expiration: 2026-07-18T02:00:00Z
Volume: 573

YES ask: 0.5100
NO ask: 0.5100
Last: 0.5100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Andy Sullivan has made the cut at the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1LEAD-THOC26-ASUL

Will Andy Sullivan lead at the end of Round 1 in the The Open Championship?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Andy Sullivan
Expiration: 2026-08-02T04:00:00Z
Volume: 7617

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 0.9990
Last: 0.0090

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Andy Sullivan is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-15T07:45:37Z
Code version: ecbe685

Reasoning: rule: round-position and final-result markets don't imply each other

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): >999% PROFITABLE
Cost: $0.5200 + ~$0.0182 est. fees
Days to maturity: 2
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: >999% PROFITABLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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