Pair #12447

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-THOC26-HSTE

The Open Championship: Will Henrik Stenson make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Henrik Stenson
Expiration: 2026-07-18T02:00:00Z
Volume: 431

YES ask: 0.4000
NO ask: 0.6200
Last: 0.3800

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Henrik Stenson has made the cut at the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1LEAD-THOC26-HSTE

Will Henrik Stenson lead at the end of Round 1 in the The Open Championship?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Henrik Stenson
Expiration: 2026-08-02T04:00:00Z
Volume: 306

YES ask: 0.0040
NO ask: 0.9990
Last: 0.0040

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Henrik Stenson is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-15T07:45:37Z
Code version: ecbe685

Reasoning: rule: round-position and final-result markets don't imply each other

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): >999% PROFITABLE
Cost: $0.6240 + ~$0.0168 est. fees
Days to maturity: 2
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: >999% PROFITABLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue