Pair #12421

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-THOC26-GWOO

The Open Championship: Will Gary Woodland make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Gary Woodland
Expiration: 2026-07-18T02:00:00Z
Volume: 1234

YES ask: 0.5600
NO ask: 0.4600
Last: 0.5600

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Gary Woodland has made the cut at the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1LEAD-THOC26-GWOO

Will Gary Woodland lead at the end of Round 1 in the The Open Championship?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Gary Woodland
Expiration: 2026-08-02T04:00:00Z
Volume: 14377

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 0.9930
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Gary Woodland is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-15T07:45:37Z
Code version: ecbe685

Reasoning: rule: round-position and final-result markets don't imply each other

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): >999% PROFITABLE
Cost: $0.4700 + ~$0.0181 est. fees
Days to maturity: 2
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: >999% PROFITABLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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