Pair #12410

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-THOC26-NTAY

The Open Championship: Will Nick Taylor make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Nick Taylor
Expiration: 2026-07-18T02:00:00Z
Volume: 1446

YES ask: 0.5900
NO ask: 0.4300
Last: 0.5800

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Nick Taylor has made the cut at the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1LEAD-THOC26-NTAY

Will Nick Taylor lead at the end of Round 1 in the The Open Championship?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Nick Taylor
Expiration: 2026-08-02T04:00:00Z
Volume: 2039

YES ask: 0.0070
NO ask: 0.9970
Last: 0.0080

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Nick Taylor is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-15T07:45:37Z
Code version: ecbe685

Reasoning: rule: round-position and final-result markets don't imply each other

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): >999% PROFITABLE
Cost: $0.4370 + ~$0.0176 est. fees
Days to maturity: 2
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: >999% PROFITABLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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