Pair #12404

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-THOC26-JSVE

The Open Championship: Will Jesper Svensson make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Jesper Svensson
Expiration: 2026-07-18T02:00:00Z
Volume: 1148

YES ask: 0.4700
NO ask: 0.5400
Last: 0.4700

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Jesper Svensson has made the cut at the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1LEAD-THOC26-JSVE

Will Jesper Svensson lead at the end of Round 1 in the The Open Championship?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Jesper Svensson
Expiration: 2026-08-02T04:00:00Z
Volume: 2578

YES ask: 0.0050
NO ask: 0.9970
Last: 0.0050

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Jesper Svensson is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-15T07:45:37Z
Code version: ecbe685

Reasoning: rule: round-position and final-result markets don't imply each other

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): >999% PROFITABLE
Cost: $0.5450 + ~$0.0177 est. fees
Days to maturity: 2
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: >999% PROFITABLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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