Pair #12344

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-THOC26-JKNA

The Open Championship: Will Jake Knapp make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Jake Knapp
Expiration: 2026-07-18T02:00:00Z
Volume: 552

YES ask: 0.5300
NO ask: 0.4900
Last: 0.5300

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Jake Knapp has made the cut at the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1LEAD-THOC26-JKNA

Will Jake Knapp lead at the end of Round 1 in the The Open Championship?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Jake Knapp
Expiration: 2026-08-02T04:00:00Z
Volume: 7491

YES ask: 0.0070
NO ask: 0.9940
Last: 0.0070

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Jake Knapp is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-15T07:45:37Z
Code version: ecbe685

Reasoning: rule: round-position and final-result markets don't imply each other

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): >999% PROFITABLE
Cost: $0.4970 + ~$0.0180 est. fees
Days to maturity: 2
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: >999% PROFITABLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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