Pair #12313

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR1TOP5-THOC26-WCLA

The Open Championship: Will Wyndham Clark finish top 5 in Round 1?

Series: KXPGAR1TOP5
Entity: Wyndham Clark
Expiration: 2026-07-16T16:00:00Z
Volume: 308

YES ask: 0.1000
NO ask: 0.9400
Last: 0.1100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Wyndham Clark finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-THOC26-WCLA

Will Wyndham Clark win the The Open Championship?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Wyndham Clark
Expiration: 2026-07-19T04:00:00Z
Volume: 2094558

YES ask: 0.0240
NO ask: 0.9770
Last: 0.0240

View on Kalshi

Rules If Wyndham Clark wins the The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-15T07:45:37Z
Code version: ecbe685

Reasoning: rule: round-position and final-result markets don't imply each other

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): N/A
Cost: $0.9640 + ~$0.0056 est. fees
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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