Antecedent (if this happens)
KXPGAMAKECUT-THOC26-WCLA
The Open Championship: Will Wyndham Clark make the cut?
Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Wyndham Clark
Expiration: 2026-07-18T02:00:00Z
Volume: 2358
YES ask: 0.7200
NO ask: 0.3000
Last: 0.7200
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Wyndham Clark has made the cut at the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)
KXPGAR1TOP5-THOC26-WCLA
The Open Championship: Will Wyndham Clark finish top 5 in Round 1?
Series: KXPGAR1TOP5
Entity: Wyndham Clark
Expiration: 2026-07-16T16:00:00Z
Volume: 308
YES ask: 0.1000
NO ask: 0.9400
Last: 0.1100
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Wyndham Clark finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: none
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-15T07:45:37Z
Code version: ecbe685
Reasoning: rule: round-position and final-result markets don't imply each other
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees):
>999%
PROFITABLE
Cost:
$0.4000
+ ~$0.0210 est. fees
Days to maturity:
2
Hurdle yield:
4.23%
Excess yield:
>999%
PROFITABLE