Pair #12312

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-THOC26-WCLA

The Open Championship: Will Wyndham Clark make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Wyndham Clark
Expiration: 2026-07-18T02:00:00Z
Volume: 2358

YES ask: 0.7200
NO ask: 0.3000
Last: 0.7200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Wyndham Clark has made the cut at the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1TOP5-THOC26-WCLA

The Open Championship: Will Wyndham Clark finish top 5 in Round 1?

Series: KXPGAR1TOP5
Entity: Wyndham Clark
Expiration: 2026-07-16T16:00:00Z
Volume: 308

YES ask: 0.1000
NO ask: 0.9400
Last: 0.1100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Wyndham Clark finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-15T07:45:37Z
Code version: ecbe685

Reasoning: rule: round-position and final-result markets don't imply each other

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): >999% PROFITABLE
Cost: $0.4000 + ~$0.0210 est. fees
Days to maturity: 2
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: >999% PROFITABLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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