Antecedent (if this happens)
KXNBAWEST-26-DEN
Will the Denver win the 2026 Pro Basketball Western Conference Championship?
Series: KXNBAWEST
Entity: Denver
Expiration: 2026-06-30T14:00:00Z
Volume: 1310279
YES ask: 0.0600
NO ask: 0.9500
Last: 0.0500
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Denver wins the 2026 Pro Basketball Western Conference Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)
KXRECORDNFLBEST-27-DEN
Will Denver have the best regular season record in the 2026-27 season?
Series: KXRECORDNFLBEST
Entity: Denver
Expiration: 2027-02-08T15:00:00Z
Volume: 8493
YES ask: 0.0900
NO ask: 0.9500
Last: 0.0900
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Denver has the best regular season record in Pro Football in the 2026-27 Pro Football Season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-18T08:01:45Z
Reasoning: Denver's NFL record and Denver's NBA Western Conference championship are different sports with no logical dependency.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
-56.92%
(negative yield)
Cost:
$1.0400
Days to maturity:
17
Hurdle yield:
4.19%
Excess yield:
-61.11%
BELOW HURDLE