Pair #12256

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-THOC26-PREE

The Open Championship: Will Patrick Reed make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Patrick Reed
Expiration: 2026-07-18T02:00:00Z
Volume: 340

YES ask: 0.6900
NO ask: 0.3300
Last: 0.6900

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Patrick Reed has made the cut at the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1TOP5-THOC26-PREE

The Open Championship: Will Patrick Reed finish top 5 in Round 1?

Series: KXPGAR1TOP5
Entity: Patrick Reed
Expiration: 2026-07-16T16:00:00Z
Volume: 442

YES ask: 0.1300
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0900

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Patrick Reed finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-15T07:45:37Z
Code version: ecbe685

Reasoning: rule: round-position and final-result markets don't imply each other

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): >999% PROFITABLE
Cost: $0.4600 + ~$0.0234 est. fees
Days to maturity: 2
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: >999% PROFITABLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue