Pair #12253

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-THOC26-PREE

The Open Championship: Will Patrick Reed make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Patrick Reed
Expiration: 2026-07-18T02:00:00Z
Volume: 340

YES ask: 0.6900
NO ask: 0.3300
Last: 0.6900

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Patrick Reed has made the cut at the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1LEAD-THOC26-PREE

Will Patrick Reed lead at the end of Round 1 in the The Open Championship?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Patrick Reed
Expiration: 2026-08-02T04:00:00Z
Volume: 11938

YES ask: 0.0120
NO ask: 0.9990
Last: 0.0120

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Patrick Reed is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-15T07:45:37Z
Code version: ecbe685

Reasoning: rule: round-position and final-result markets don't imply each other

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): >999% PROFITABLE
Cost: $0.3420 + ~$0.0163 est. fees
Days to maturity: 2
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: >999% PROFITABLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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