Pair #12232

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-THOC26-RHOJ

The Open Championship: Will Rasmus Hojgaard finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Rasmus Hojgaard
Expiration: 2026-08-02T04:00:00Z
Volume: 277

YES ask: 0.0400
NO ask: 0.9700
Last: 0.0400

View on Kalshi

Rules If Rasmus Hojgaard finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-THOC26-RHOJ

The Open Championship: Will Rasmus Hojgaard finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Rasmus Hojgaard
Expiration: 2026-08-02T04:00:00Z
Volume: 968

YES ask: 0.1100
NO ask: 0.9100
Last: 0.1100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Rasmus Hojgaard finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-15T07:45:37Z
Code version: ecbe685

Reasoning: rule: KXPGATOP10 is a strict subset of KXPGATOP20 for the same player and tournament

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): -82.22% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.0800 + ~$0.0089 est. fees
Days to maturity: 18
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: -86.45% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Decision: confirmed
Reviewed at: 2026-07-15T07:45:37Z

Authenticate

← Back to review queue