Pair #12224

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-THOC26-CCON

The Open Championship: Will Corey Conners make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Corey Conners
Expiration: 2026-07-18T02:00:00Z
Volume: 323

YES ask: 0.6400
NO ask: 0.3700
Last: 0.6400

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Corey Conners has made the cut at the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1LEAD-THOC26-CCON

Will Corey Conners lead at the end of Round 1 in the The Open Championship?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Corey Conners
Expiration: 2026-08-02T04:00:00Z
Volume: 4236

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 0.9990
Last: 0.0080

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Corey Conners is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-15T07:45:37Z
Code version: ecbe685

Reasoning: rule: round-position and final-result markets don't imply each other

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): >999% PROFITABLE
Cost: $0.3800 + ~$0.0170 est. fees
Days to maturity: 2
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: >999% PROFITABLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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