Pair #12199

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-THOC26-RFOX

The Open Championship: Will Ryan Fox make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Ryan Fox
Expiration: 2026-07-18T02:00:00Z
Volume: 295

YES ask: 0.6100
NO ask: 0.4100
Last: 0.6100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Ryan Fox has made the cut at the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1LEAD-THOC26-RFOX

Will Ryan Fox lead at the end of Round 1 in the The Open Championship?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Ryan Fox
Expiration: 2026-08-02T04:00:00Z
Volume: 9142

YES ask: 0.0120
NO ask: 0.9930
Last: 0.0090

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Ryan Fox is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-15T07:45:37Z
Code version: ecbe685

Reasoning: rule: round-position and final-result markets don't imply each other

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): >999% PROFITABLE
Cost: $0.4220 + ~$0.0178 est. fees
Days to maturity: 2
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: >999% PROFITABLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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