Pair #12185

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-THOC26-MMCN

The Open Championship: Will Maverick McNealy make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Maverick McNealy
Expiration: 2026-07-18T02:00:00Z
Volume: 1029

YES ask: 0.6300
NO ask: 0.3800
Last: 0.6300

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Maverick McNealy has made the cut at the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1LEAD-THOC26-MMCN

Will Maverick McNealy lead at the end of Round 1 in the The Open Championship?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Maverick McNealy
Expiration: 2026-08-02T04:00:00Z
Volume: 2882

YES ask: 0.0090
NO ask: 0.9990
Last: 0.0080

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Maverick McNealy is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-15T07:45:37Z
Code version: ecbe685

Reasoning: rule: round-position and final-result markets don't imply each other

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): >999% PROFITABLE
Cost: $0.3890 + ~$0.0171 est. fees
Days to maturity: 2
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: >999% PROFITABLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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