Pair #12170

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR1TOP10-THOC26-SBUR

The Open Championship: Will Sam Burns finish top 10 in Round 1?

Series: KXPGAR1TOP10
Entity: Sam Burns
Expiration: 2026-07-16T16:00:00Z
Volume: 267

YES ask: 0.1700
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1700

View on Kalshi

Rules If Sam Burns finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-THOC26-SBUR

The Open Championship: Will Sam Burns finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Sam Burns
Expiration: 2026-08-02T04:00:00Z
Volume: 5260

YES ask: 0.1800
NO ask: 0.8400
Last: 0.1800

View on Kalshi

Rules If Sam Burns finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-15T07:45:37Z
Code version: ecbe685

Reasoning: rule: round-position and final-result markets don't imply each other

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): N/A
Cost: $1.1800 + ~$0.0103 est. fees
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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