Pair #12157

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-THOC26-JTHO

The Open Championship: Will Justin Thomas make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Justin Thomas
Expiration: 2026-07-18T02:00:00Z
Volume: 5011

YES ask: 0.7000
NO ask: 0.3300
Last: 0.6900

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Justin Thomas has made the cut at the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1LEAD-THOC26-JTHO

Will Justin Thomas lead at the end of Round 1 in the The Open Championship?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Justin Thomas
Expiration: 2026-08-02T04:00:00Z
Volume: 4205

YES ask: 0.0140
NO ask: 0.9870
Last: 0.0150

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Justin Thomas is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-15T07:45:37Z
Code version: ecbe685

Reasoning: rule: round-position and final-result markets don't imply each other

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): >999% PROFITABLE
Cost: $0.3440 + ~$0.0164 est. fees
Days to maturity: 2
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: >999% PROFITABLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue