Pair #12145

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR1TOP5-THOC26-MLEE

The Open Championship: Will Min Woo Lee finish top 5 in Round 1?

Series: KXPGAR1TOP5
Entity: Min Woo Lee
Expiration: 2026-07-16T16:00:00Z
Volume: 375

YES ask: 0.1300
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1000

View on Kalshi

Rules If Min Woo Lee finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-THOC26-MLEE

Will Min Woo Lee win the The Open Championship?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Min Woo Lee
Expiration: 2026-07-19T04:00:00Z
Volume: 864642

YES ask: 0.0170
NO ask: 0.9840
Last: 0.0170

View on Kalshi

Rules If Min Woo Lee wins the The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-15T07:45:37Z
Code version: ecbe685

Reasoning: rule: round-position and final-result markets don't imply each other

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): N/A
Cost: $1.0170 + ~$0.0012 est. fees
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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