Pair #12143

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-THOC26-MLEE

The Open Championship: Will Min Woo Lee make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Min Woo Lee
Expiration: 2026-07-18T02:00:00Z
Volume: 443

YES ask: 0.7000
NO ask: 0.3200
Last: 0.7100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Min Woo Lee has made the cut at the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1TOP5-THOC26-MLEE

The Open Championship: Will Min Woo Lee finish top 5 in Round 1?

Series: KXPGAR1TOP5
Entity: Min Woo Lee
Expiration: 2026-07-16T16:00:00Z
Volume: 375

YES ask: 0.1300
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1000

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Min Woo Lee finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-15T07:45:37Z
Code version: ecbe685

Reasoning: rule: round-position and final-result markets don't imply each other

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): >999% PROFITABLE
Cost: $0.4500 + ~$0.0231 est. fees
Days to maturity: 2
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: >999% PROFITABLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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