Pair #12140

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-THOC26-MLEE

The Open Championship: Will Min Woo Lee make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Min Woo Lee
Expiration: 2026-07-18T02:00:00Z
Volume: 443

YES ask: 0.7000
NO ask: 0.3200
Last: 0.7100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Min Woo Lee has made the cut at the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1LEAD-THOC26-MLEE

Will Min Woo Lee lead at the end of Round 1 in the The Open Championship?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Min Woo Lee
Expiration: 2026-08-02T04:00:00Z
Volume: 59263

YES ask: 0.0180
NO ask: 0.9960
Last: 0.0180

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Min Woo Lee is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-15T07:45:37Z
Code version: ecbe685

Reasoning: rule: round-position and final-result markets don't imply each other

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): >999% PROFITABLE
Cost: $0.3380 + ~$0.0165 est. fees
Days to maturity: 2
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: >999% PROFITABLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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