Pair #12134

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR1TOP5-THOC26-JSPI

The Open Championship: Will Jordan Spieth finish top 5 in Round 1?

Series: KXPGAR1TOP5
Entity: Jordan Spieth
Expiration: 2026-07-16T16:00:00Z
Volume: 574

YES ask: 0.1200
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1000

View on Kalshi

Rules If Jordan Spieth finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-THOC26-JSPI

Will Jordan Spieth win the The Open Championship?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Jordan Spieth
Expiration: 2026-07-19T04:00:00Z
Volume: 2217462

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 0.9910
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Jordan Spieth wins the The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-15T07:45:37Z
Code version: ecbe685

Reasoning: rule: round-position and final-result markets don't imply each other

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): N/A
Cost: $1.0100 + ~$0.0007 est. fees
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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