Pair #12133

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-THOC26-JSPI

The Open Championship: Will Jordan Spieth make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Jordan Spieth
Expiration: 2026-07-18T02:00:00Z
Volume: 3269

YES ask: 0.6200
NO ask: 0.4000
Last: 0.6000

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Jordan Spieth has made the cut at the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1TOP5-THOC26-JSPI

The Open Championship: Will Jordan Spieth finish top 5 in Round 1?

Series: KXPGAR1TOP5
Entity: Jordan Spieth
Expiration: 2026-07-16T16:00:00Z
Volume: 574

YES ask: 0.1200
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1000

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Jordan Spieth finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-15T07:45:37Z
Code version: ecbe685

Reasoning: rule: round-position and final-result markets don't imply each other

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): >999% PROFITABLE
Cost: $0.5200 + ~$0.0242 est. fees
Days to maturity: 2
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: >999% PROFITABLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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