Pair #12126

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-THOC26-STHE

The Open Championship: Will Sahith Theegala make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Sahith Theegala
Expiration: 2026-07-18T02:00:00Z
Volume: 402

YES ask: 0.5700
NO ask: 0.4700
Last: 0.5300

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Sahith Theegala has made the cut at the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1LEAD-THOC26-SAT

Will Sahith Theegala lead at the end of Round 1 in the The Open Championship?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Sahith Theegala
Expiration: 2026-08-02T04:00:00Z
Volume: 5365

YES ask: 0.0080
NO ask: 0.9950
Last: 0.0070

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Sahith Theegala is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-15T07:45:37Z
Code version: ecbe685

Reasoning: rule: round-position and final-result markets don't imply each other

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): >999% PROFITABLE
Cost: $0.4780 + ~$0.0180 est. fees
Days to maturity: 2
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: >999% PROFITABLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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