Pair #12081

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR1TOP5-THOC26-WKIM

The Open Championship: Will Si Woo Kim finish top 5 in Round 1?

Series: KXPGAR1TOP5
Entity: Si Woo Kim
Expiration: 2026-07-16T16:00:00Z
Volume: 375

YES ask: 0.1100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1000

View on Kalshi

Rules If Si Woo Kim finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-THOC26-WKIM

The Open Championship: Will Si Woo Kim finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Si Woo Kim
Expiration: 2026-08-02T04:00:00Z
Volume: 3500

YES ask: 0.2000
NO ask: 0.8100
Last: 0.2000

View on Kalshi

Rules If Si Woo Kim finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-15T07:45:37Z
Code version: ecbe685

Reasoning: rule: round-position and final-result markets don't imply each other

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): N/A
Cost: $1.2000 + ~$0.0112 est. fees
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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