Pair #12076

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-THOC26-RFOW

The Open Championship: Will Rickie Fowler make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Rickie Fowler
Expiration: 2026-07-18T02:00:00Z
Volume: 395

YES ask: 0.6300
NO ask: 0.3800
Last: 0.6300

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Rickie Fowler has made the cut at the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1LEAD-THOC26-RFOW

Will Rickie Fowler lead at the end of Round 1 in the The Open Championship?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Rickie Fowler
Expiration: 2026-08-02T04:00:00Z
Volume: 13070

YES ask: 0.0110
NO ask: 0.9920
Last: 0.0110

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Rickie Fowler is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-15T07:45:37Z
Code version: ecbe685

Reasoning: rule: round-position and final-result markets don't imply each other

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): >999% PROFITABLE
Cost: $0.3910 + ~$0.0173 est. fees
Days to maturity: 2
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: >999% PROFITABLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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