Pair #12070

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR1TOP10-THOC26-CAME

The Open Championship: Will Cameron Young finish top 10 in Round 1?

Series: KXPGAR1TOP10
Entity: Cameron Young
Expiration: 2026-07-16T16:00:00Z
Volume: 1439

YES ask: 0.1700
NO ask: 0.8800
Last: 0.2000

View on Kalshi

Rules If Cameron Young finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-THOC26-CAME

Will Cameron Young win the The Open Championship?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Cameron Young
Expiration: 2026-07-19T04:00:00Z
Volume: 659490

YES ask: 0.0220
NO ask: 0.9790
Last: 0.0220

View on Kalshi

Rules If Cameron Young wins the The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-15T07:45:37Z
Code version: ecbe685

Reasoning: rule: round-position and final-result markets don't imply each other

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): N/A
Cost: $0.9020 + ~$0.0089 est. fees
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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