Pair #12069

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-THOC26-CAME

The Open Championship: Will Cameron Young make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Cameron Young
Expiration: 2026-07-18T02:00:00Z
Volume: 14975

YES ask: 0.7100
NO ask: 0.3100
Last: 0.6900

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Cameron Young has made the cut at the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1TOP10-THOC26-CAME

The Open Championship: Will Cameron Young finish top 10 in Round 1?

Series: KXPGAR1TOP10
Entity: Cameron Young
Expiration: 2026-07-16T16:00:00Z
Volume: 1439

YES ask: 0.1700
NO ask: 0.8800
Last: 0.2000

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Cameron Young finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-15T07:45:37Z
Code version: ecbe685

Reasoning: rule: round-position and final-result markets don't imply each other

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): >999% PROFITABLE
Cost: $0.4800 + ~$0.0249 est. fees
Days to maturity: 2
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: >999% PROFITABLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue