Pair #12063

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-THOC26-CMOR

The Open Championship: Will Collin Morikawa make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Collin Morikawa
Expiration: 2026-07-18T02:00:00Z
Volume: 310

YES ask: 0.7300
NO ask: 0.3000
Last: 0.7300

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Collin Morikawa has made the cut at the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1LEAD-THOC26-CMOR

Will Collin Morikawa lead at the end of Round 1 in the The Open Championship?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Collin Morikawa
Expiration: 2026-08-02T04:00:00Z
Volume: 24882

YES ask: 0.0150
NO ask: 0.9930
Last: 0.0140

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Collin Morikawa is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-15T07:45:37Z
Code version: ecbe685

Reasoning: rule: round-position and final-result markets don't imply each other

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): >999% PROFITABLE
Cost: $0.3150 + ~$0.0157 est. fees
Days to maturity: 2
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: >999% PROFITABLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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