Pair #12053

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-THOC26-KBRA

The Open Championship: Will Keegan Bradley make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Keegan Bradley
Expiration: 2026-07-18T02:00:00Z
Volume: 214

YES ask: 0.6500
NO ask: 0.3700
Last: 0.6500

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Keegan Bradley has made the cut at the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1LEAD-THOC26-KBRA

Will Keegan Bradley lead at the end of Round 1 in the The Open Championship?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Keegan Bradley
Expiration: 2026-08-02T04:00:00Z
Volume: 2548

YES ask: 0.0090
NO ask: 0.9990
Last: 0.0080

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Keegan Bradley is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-15T07:45:37Z
Code version: ecbe685

Reasoning: rule: round-position and final-result markets don't imply each other

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): >999% PROFITABLE
Cost: $0.3790 + ~$0.0169 est. fees
Days to maturity: 2
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: >999% PROFITABLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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