Antecedent (if this happens)
KXNFLDRAFT1ST-26-1-DEN
Will Denver make the 1st Overall Pick in the 2026 Pro Football Draft?
Series: KXNFLDRAFT1ST
Entity: Denver
Expiration: 2026-04-24T14:00:00Z
Volume: 4968
YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Denver is the team to make the 1st Overall Pick in the 2026 Pro Football Draft, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)
KXRECORDNFLBEST-27-DEN
Will Denver have the best regular season record in the 2026-27 season?
Series: KXRECORDNFLBEST
Entity: Denver
Expiration: 2027-02-08T15:00:00Z
Volume: 6149
YES ask: 0.0900
NO ask: 0.9200
Last: 0.0800
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Denver has the best regular season record in Pro Football in the 2026-27 Pro Football Season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-18T08:01:45Z
Reasoning: Having the best record in 2026-27 does not logically connect to making the 1st overall pick in the 2026 draft (a prior event), and vice versa. These are independent.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
N/A
Cost:
$1.0900
Days to maturity:
N/A
Hurdle yield:
N/A
Excess yield:
N/A