Pair #11847

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP40-THOC26-JROS

The Open Championship: Will Justin Rose finish top 40?

Series: KXPGATOP40
Entity: Justin Rose
Expiration: 2026-08-02T04:00:00Z
Volume: 3239

YES ask: 0.5500
NO ask: 0.4700
Last: 0.5500

View on Kalshi

Rules If Justin Rose finishes in the top 40 (including ties) in the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXRYDERCUPCAPTAIN-2027EUR-JROS

Justin Rose to be the Europe Team Captain at 2027 Ryder Cup

Series: KXRYDERCUPCAPTAIN
Entity: Justin Rose
Expiration: 2027-09-30T14:00:00Z
Volume: 5018

YES ask: 0.1000
NO ask: 0.9800
Last: 0.4900

View on Kalshi

Rules If Justin Rose is the Europe Team Captain at the 2027 Ryder Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-5
Screened: 2026-07-14T08:00:36Z
Code version: ecbe685

Reasoning: Captaincy appointment and tournament finish are unrelated.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): >999% PROFITABLE
Cost: $0.5700 + ~$0.0237 est. fees
Days to maturity: 17
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: >999% PROFITABLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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