Pair #11845

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-THOC26-KBRA

The Open Championship: Will Keegan Bradley make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Keegan Bradley
Expiration: 2026-07-18T02:00:00Z
Volume: 214

YES ask: 0.6500
NO ask: 0.3700
Last: 0.6500

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Keegan Bradley has made the cut at the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXRYDERCUPCAPTAIN-2027USA-KBRA

Keegan Bradley to be the U.S. Team Captain at 2027 Ryder Cup

Series: KXRYDERCUPCAPTAIN
Entity: Keegan Bradley
Expiration: 2027-09-30T14:00:00Z
Volume: 786

YES ask: 0.1000
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0900

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Keegan Bradley is the U.S. Team Captain at the 2027 Ryder Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-5
Screened: 2026-07-14T08:00:36Z
Code version: ecbe685

Reasoning: No logical link between future captaincy and making a cut in an earlier tournament.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): >999% PROFITABLE
Cost: $0.4700 + ~$0.0226 est. fees
Days to maturity: 2
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: >999% PROFITABLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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