Pair #11844

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-THOC26-KBRA

The Open Championship: Will Keegan Bradley finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Keegan Bradley
Expiration: 2026-08-02T04:00:00Z
Volume: 2386

YES ask: 0.2100
NO ask: 0.8000
Last: 0.2200

Rules

If Keegan Bradley finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXRYDERCUPCAPTAIN-2027USA-KBRA

Keegan Bradley to be the U.S. Team Captain at 2027 Ryder Cup

Series: KXRYDERCUPCAPTAIN
Entity: Keegan Bradley
Expiration: 2027-09-30T14:00:00Z
Volume: 786

YES ask: 0.1000
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0900

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Keegan Bradley is the U.S. Team Captain at the 2027 Ryder Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-5
Screened: 2026-07-14T08:00:36Z
Code version: ecbe685

Reasoning: Captaincy selection does not depend on or guarantee a golf tournament finish.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): 535.14% PROFITABLE
Cost: $0.9000 + ~$0.0175 est. fees
Days to maturity: 17
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: +530.91% PROFITABLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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