Pair #11842

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXNHL-27-FLA

Will Florida Panthers win the 2026-27 Stanley Cup® Finals?

Series: KXNHL
Entity: Florida Panthers
Expiration: 2027-07-01T14:00:00Z
Volume: 91151

YES ask: 0.1400
NO ask: 0.8800
Last: 0.1400

View on Kalshi

Rules If Florida Panthers wins the 2026-27 Stanley Cup® Finals, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXNHLEAST-27-FLA

Will the Florida Panthers win the Eastern Conference Finals?

Series: KXNHLEAST
Entity: Florida Panthers
Expiration: 2027-07-01T14:00:00Z
Volume: 796

YES ask: 0.2200
NO ask: 0.8500
Last: 0.2200

View on Kalshi

Rules If the Florida Panthers win the 2026-27 NHL Eastern Conference Finals, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-5
Screened: 2026-07-14T07:45:35Z
Code version: ecbe685

Reasoning: [structural reuse of KXNHL-27-NYR/KXNHLEAST-27-NYR] To win the Stanley Cup Finals, a team must first win its conference finals (Eastern Conference Finals for NYR).

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): -11.07% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.1000 + ~$0.0194 est. fees
Days to maturity: 351
Hurdle yield: 4.51%
Excess yield: -15.58% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Decision: confirmed
Reviewed at: 2026-07-14T07:45:35Z

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