KXNCAAFB10-26-ILL
Will Illinois win the College Football Big Ten Championship?
Series: KXNCAAFB10
Entity: Illinois
Expiration: 2026-12-06T04:30:00Z
Volume: 3292
YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100
KXNCAAFPLAYOFF-26-ILL
Will Illinois qualify for the College Football Playoffs?
Series: KXNCAAFPLAYOFF
Entity: Illinois
Expiration: 2026-12-15T15:00:00Z
Volume: 245
YES ask: 0.0500
NO ask: 0.9700
Last: 0.0500
Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-07-14T07:45:35Z
Code version: ecbe685
Reasoning: [structural reuse of KXNCAAFB10-26-PSU/KXNCAAFPLAYOFF-26-PSU] [structural reuse of KXNCAAFB10-26-MICH/KXNCAAFPLAYOFF-26-MICH] Teams can qualify for the CFP without winning their conference championship (at-large bids), and winning the Big 10 championship does not guarantee a CFP berth in all scenarios. Neither event logically necessitates the other.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees):
-12.42%
(negative yield)
Cost:
$1.0500
+ ~$0.0033 est. fees
Days to maturity:
143
Hurdle yield:
4.42%
Excess yield:
-16.84%
BELOW HURDLE
Not yet reviewed.
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