Pair #11771

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-THOC26-PHAR

The Open Championship: Will Padraig Harrington make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Padraig Harrington
Expiration: 2026-07-18T02:00:00Z
Volume: 3248

YES ask: 0.4200
NO ask: 0.6000
Last: 0.4200

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Rules

If Padraig Harrington has made the cut at the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXRYDERCUPCAPTAIN-2027EUR-PHAR

Padraig Harrington to be the Europe Team Captain at 2027 Ryder Cup

Series: KXRYDERCUPCAPTAIN
Entity: Padraig Harrington
Expiration: 2027-09-30T14:00:00Z
Volume: 1264

YES ask: 0.1000
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1500

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Padraig Harrington is the Europe Team Captain at the 2027 Ryder Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-5
Screened: 2026-07-14T07:45:35Z
Code version: ecbe685

Reasoning: [structural reuse of KXPGAMAKECUT-THOC26-JROS/KXRYDERCUPCAPTAIN-2027EUR-JROS] Captaincy in 2027 is unrelated to making the cut at the 2026 Open.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): >999% PROFITABLE
Cost: $0.7000 + ~$0.0231 est. fees
Days to maturity: 2
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: >999% PROFITABLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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