Pair #11757

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR1LEAD-COPC26-TPEN

Will Taylor Pendrith lead at the end of Round 1 in the Corales Puntacana Championship?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Taylor Pendrith
Expiration: 2026-08-02T00:00:00Z
Volume: 9008

YES ask: 0.0300
NO ask: 0.9890
Last: 0.0300

View on Kalshi

Rules If Taylor Pendrith is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP5-COPC26-TPEN

Corales Puntacana Championship: Will Taylor Pendrith finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Taylor Pendrith
Expiration: 2026-08-02T00:00:00Z
Volume: 540

YES ask: 0.1700
NO ask: 0.8400
Last: 0.2400

View on Kalshi

Rules If Taylor Pendrith finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-14T07:45:35Z
Code version: ecbe685

Reasoning: rule: round-position and final-result markets don't imply each other

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): -96.54% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.1590 + ~$0.0106 est. fees
Days to maturity: 17
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: -100.77% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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