Pair #11756

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-COPC26-TPEN

Will Taylor Pendrith win the Corales Puntacana Championship?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Taylor Pendrith
Expiration: 2026-07-19T00:00:00Z
Volume: 46043

YES ask: 0.0570
NO ask: 0.9580
Last: 0.0410

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Taylor Pendrith wins the Corales Puntacana Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP5-COPC26-TPEN

Corales Puntacana Championship: Will Taylor Pendrith finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Taylor Pendrith
Expiration: 2026-08-02T00:00:00Z
Volume: 540

YES ask: 0.1700
NO ask: 0.8400
Last: 0.2400

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Taylor Pendrith finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-14T07:45:35Z
Code version: ecbe685

Reasoning: rule: KXPGATOUR is a strict subset of KXPGATOP5 for the same player and tournament

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): -100.00% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.1280 + ~$0.0127 est. fees
Days to maturity: 4
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: -104.23% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Decision: confirmed
Reviewed at: 2026-07-14T07:45:35Z

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