Pair #1174

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VAC26-MHOM

Valspar Championship: Will Max Homa finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Max Homa
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 4257

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

Rules

If Max Homa finishes top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VAC26-MHOM

Valspar Championship: Will Max Homa make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Max Homa
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1232

YES ask: 0.0600
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0600

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Max Homa makes the cut in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:19:45Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 10 at the Valspar Championship requires having made the cut. The reverse is not true; making the cut does not guarantee a top 10 finish.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0600
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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