Pair #11721

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-THOC26-DPUI

The Open Championship: Will David Puig make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: David Puig
Expiration: 2026-07-18T02:00:00Z
Volume: 1023

YES ask: 0.5100
NO ask: 0.5100
Last: 0.5300

View on Kalshi

Rules

If David Puig has made the cut at the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1LEAD-THOC26-DAP

Will David Puig lead at the end of Round 1 in the The Open Championship?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: David Puig
Expiration: 2026-08-02T04:00:00Z
Volume: 16192

YES ask: 0.0080
NO ask: 0.9960
Last: 0.0070

View on Kalshi

Rules

If David Puig is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-14T07:45:35Z
Code version: ecbe685

Reasoning: rule: round-position and final-result markets don't imply each other

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): >999% PROFITABLE
Cost: $0.5180 + ~$0.0180 est. fees
Days to maturity: 2
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: >999% PROFITABLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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