Pair #11712

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-THOC26-MHOM

The Open Championship: Will Max Homa make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Max Homa
Expiration: 2026-07-18T02:00:00Z
Volume: 2093

YES ask: 0.5600
NO ask: 0.4700
Last: 0.5600

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Max Homa has made the cut at the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1LEAD-THOC26-MAH

Will Max Homa lead at the end of Round 1 in the The Open Championship?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Max Homa
Expiration: 2026-08-02T04:00:00Z
Volume: 5152

YES ask: 0.0130
NO ask: 0.9990
Last: 0.0130

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Max Homa is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-14T07:45:35Z
Code version: ecbe685

Reasoning: rule: round-position and final-result markets don't imply each other

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): >999% PROFITABLE
Cost: $0.4830 + ~$0.0183 est. fees
Days to maturity: 2
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: >999% PROFITABLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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