Pair #1171

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VAC26-MHOM

Valspar Championship: Will Max Homa finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Max Homa
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 4257

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

Rules

If Max Homa finishes top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-MHOM

Will Max Homa win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Max Homa
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 4121696

YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Max Homa wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:19:45Z

Reasoning: Winning the Masters and finishing top 10 at the Valspar Championship are independent events at different tournaments. Neither implies the other.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0010
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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