Pair #11708

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-THOC26-NECH

The Open Championship: Will Nicolas Echavarria make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Nicolas Echavarria
Expiration: 2026-07-18T02:00:00Z
Volume: 1002

YES ask: 0.5000
NO ask: 0.5500
Last: 0.5100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Nicolas Echavarria has made the cut at the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1LEAD-THOC26-NIE

Will Nicolas Echavarria lead at the end of Round 1 in the The Open Championship?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Nicolas Echavarria
Expiration: 2026-08-02T04:00:00Z
Volume: 303

YES ask: 0.0050
NO ask: 0.9990
Last: 0.0070

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Nicolas Echavarria is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-14T07:45:35Z
Code version: ecbe685

Reasoning: rule: round-position and final-result markets don't imply each other

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): >999% PROFITABLE
Cost: $0.5550 + ~$0.0177 est. fees
Days to maturity: 2
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: >999% PROFITABLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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