Pair #11582

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-THOC26-WCLA

The Open Championship: Will Wyndham Clark make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Wyndham Clark
Expiration: 2026-07-18T02:00:00Z
Volume: 2358

YES ask: 0.7200
NO ask: 0.3000
Last: 0.7200

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Wyndham Clark has made the cut at the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1LEAD-THOC26-WCLA

Will Wyndham Clark lead at the end of Round 1 in the The Open Championship?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Wyndham Clark
Expiration: 2026-08-02T04:00:00Z
Volume: 55430

YES ask: 0.0210
NO ask: 0.9820
Last: 0.0210

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Wyndham Clark is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-14T07:45:35Z
Code version: ecbe685

Reasoning: rule: round-position and final-result markets don't imply each other

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): >999% PROFITABLE
Cost: $0.3210 + ~$0.0161 est. fees
Days to maturity: 2
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: >999% PROFITABLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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